News Summary
As the Fourth of July weekend approaches, Jacksonville is bracing for rainy weather and potential tropical development. Showers are expected to taper off, but more rain and storms will return on Tuesday. Additionally, a disturbance off the southeastern U.S. coast may influence weather conditions leading up to Independence Day. Residents are urged to stay prepared as showers and storms could impact outdoor celebrations this holiday weekend.
Jacksonville Braces for Rainy Weather and Possible Tropical Development Ahead of Fourth of July Weekend
Jacksonville and surrounding areas are preparing for a period of rainy weather as the Fourth of July weekend approaches. Evening rain is expected to taper off after dark, with most of the precipitation shifting away from downtown Jacksonville toward Georgia. Nighttime temperatures are forecasted to drop into the mid-70s, settling around 76 degrees by 10 p.m. Although a few lingering showers may occur overnight, conditions are anticipated to dry by Tuesday morning.
Tuesday is expected to start mostly dry, but high temperatures are set to climb into the lower 90s during the day. Showers and storms are predicted to return after 2 p.m. with a 60% chance of rain, particularly impacting northern Florida. As the week progresses, another round of rain is forecasted for midweek, coinciding with a shifting weather front that could bring widespread rain on Wednesday and Thursday. These conditions will increase the chances for additional showers and thunderstorms across the region.
Potential Tropical Development
As of June 30, 2025, a disturbance is likely to develop off the southeastern U.S. coast, potentially impacting Fourth of July celebrations in Northeast Florida. The National Hurricane Center currently assesses the disturbance’s chance of tropical or subtropical development as low. However, a cold front may catalyze the development of a tropical system either in the eastern Gulf or near the Southeast coast later in the week. With water temperatures in the Gulf exceeding average levels, conditions could support further tropical development.
The Florida Department of Emergency Management has issued warnings regarding potential heavy rainfall, gusty winds, and increased rip current risks later in the week. Residents are advised to remain vigilant and prepared for changing weather conditions.
Fourth of July Forecast
The forecast for Independence Day indicates that showers and thunderstorms are likely, particularly after 2 p.m. High temperatures are expected to reach around 91 degrees, with a notable 70% chance of rain throughout the day. Additionally, showers and thunderstorms are anticipated to linger into the Friday night period, before tapering off after 2 a.m. A slight chance of lingering showers may remain following this time.
Background Information
Jacksonville has a history of weather variability during the summer months, often experiencing thunderstorms as temperatures rise. Residents are urged to stay informed about weather conditions, particularly as the Fourth of July holiday approaches. The National Hurricane Center has emphasized that advisories may be issued for systems near land, even if they have not yet developed into named storms.
For many in the area, outdoor festivities and celebrations during the Fourth of July require careful weather planning. With the combination of rising temperatures and the unpredictability of summer storms, Jacksonville residents should stay prepared and informed as changing conditions approach.
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Additional Resources
- Jacksonville 4th of July Forecast
- News4Jax Weather Update
- Weather.com Today’s Weather
- Wikipedia: Fourth of July
- Encyclopedia Britannica: Fourth of July
Author: STAFF HERE JACKSONVILLE WRITER
JACKSONVILLE STAFF WRITER The JACKSONVILLE STAFF WRITER represents the experienced team at HEREJacksonville.com, your go-to source for actionable local news and information in Jacksonville, Duval County, and beyond. Specializing in "news you can use," we cover essential topics like product reviews for personal and business needs, local business directories, politics, real estate trends, neighborhood insights, and state news affecting the area—with deep expertise drawn from years of dedicated reporting and strong community input, including local press releases and business updates. We deliver top reporting on high-value events such as the Jacksonville Jazz Festival, Riverside Arts Market, and World of Nations Celebration. Our coverage extends to key organizations like the Jacksonville Chamber of Commerce and JAXUSA Partnership, plus leading businesses in logistics, healthcare, and entertainment that power the local economy such as CSX Corporation, Baptist Health, and VyStar Credit Union. As part of the broader HERE network, including HEREOrlando.com, HEREStPetersburg.com, HERETallahassee.com, and HERETampa.com, we provide comprehensive, credible insights into Florida's dynamic landscape.